It’s become a safe bet that every statement from the mouth of a Republican politician is the exact opposite of the truth. When Trump accuses Hillary Clinton of colluding, it’s because he’s guilty of colluding. When he calls someone “low IQ” it’s because he has a low IQ. When Republicans say it’s a scary time in America for men, it’s because it’s a scary time in America for women.
And now, in the wake of the “Bart” Kavanaugh nomination debacle, GOP leaders in Congress insist that the “unfair” treatment of their nominee has awakened the Republican base in a way that will counteract the swelling blue wave (despite the fact that Kavanaugh was ultimately confirmed to the court). Many, including Trump and McConnell, are going out of their way to crow about a GOP midterm surge in response to the Kavanaugh hearings.
But their strutting insistence is looking like another example of their use of the Big Lie. Polls showed that the GOP base was angered by the hearings. But it’s becoming very clear that the hearings were bad for the GOP with independent and unaffiliated voters, not to mention Democrats, as you would imagine given the protests and outrage occurring for the past two weeks against the GOP.
Now a new poll from CNN shows what any reasonable person would expect. The GOP is in trouble this November. The poll has generic ballot Democrats up 13 points over Republicans among likely voters, 54% for Democrats vs 41% for Republicans.
Political forecasters have noted that the Democrats would need around a 9 point advantage to have a better than even chance of taking back the House, so a 13 point gap is promising. Of course, voter suppression and social media manipulation will have an unforeseeable impact, and who knows what dirty tricks the GOP will use, much less the Russians. But the CNN poll is welcome news in the aftermath of the Supreme Court disaster, and gives The Resistance a meaningful boost to continue working hard for change in NY-19.
So let’s keep working to Fire Feckless Faso and elect Antonio Delgado. Phonebank & canvass…